Commentary: Iranians cannot just ‘take back’ their country after US-Israel strikes
CNA
Even after the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and numerous senior leaders, there has been no popular uprising so far, says war studies lecturer Samir Puri.
SINGAPORE:On Saturday (Feb 28), the day the United States launched its attack on Iran, President Donald Trump used his speech to speak directly to the Iranian people: “When we are finished, take over your government. It will be yours to take. This will be probably your only chance for generations.”
So far, there has been no popular uprising to “take back” the country from the regime, even after the killing of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. But the question is: Can Iranians rise up to bring the regime down?
Iran's regime has not instantly collapsed, despite being battered in the US-Israeli assault and the deaths of the ayatollah and numerous senior leadership figures. It appears intent on fighting on and projecting a sense of continuity in its wartime leadership. Some US officials are also reportedly sceptical of achieving regime change.
Recognising the complexity of the task, Mr Trump has now estimated the US offensive on Iran will last four to five weeks but could “go far longer than that”.
The history of coercive bombings campaigns does not support the assumption that air power and airstrikes alone can topple and replace regimes.
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Even after the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and numerous senior leaders, there has been no popular uprising so far, says war studies lecturer Samir Puri.
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