
Economic Survey 2025-26: Centre remains well on track to achieve 4.4% fiscal deficit target for FY26
The Hindu
The Economic Survey 2025-26 confirms India's fiscal discipline, projecting a 4.4% deficit target achieved through public investment and consolidation.
The government is well on track to meet the fiscal deficit target of 4.4% of GDP estimated for the current financial year based on broad trends, the Economic Survey 2025-26 tabled in Parliament on Thursday (January 29, 2026) said.
According to the survey prepared by Chief Economic Advisor (CEA) V. Anantha Nageswaran and team, the central government's fiscal trajectory stands out for combining consolidation with sustained public investment, earning three sovereign rating upgrades this year.
Economic Survey 2025-26 LIVE updates
Between FY20 and FY25 (Provisional Actual), the share of capital spending in the total central government expenditure increased from about 12.5% to 22.6%, while effective capex as a share of GDP rose from roughly 2.6% to 4%, the survey said.
Even as States are overshooting their revenue deficit, the central government, through its Special Assistance to States for Capital Expenditure/Investment (SASCI), has successfully incentivised States to maintain capital expenditure at around 2.4% of GDP, it said, adding the expansion of unconditional cash transfers across several States has contributed to rising revenue expenditure, with implications for fiscal space and public investment at the State level.
"Based on the broad trends observed during the year, the central government remains well on track to achieve its envisaged fiscal consolidation path, aiming to attain a fiscal deficit target of 4.4% of GDP in FY26," it said.

The U.S. has launched two investigations under Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974 against India and other economies to examine practices that may be ‘unreasonable or discriminatory and burden or restrict U.S. commerce’. One probe examines whether countries, including India, are using excess manufacturing capacity to export to the U.S. in a manner that hurts American businesses, while another looks at whether countries have taken ‘sufficient steps’ to prohibit imports of goods produced with forced labour.












