Will Dalal Street's recovery run end as US, Iran fail to end war?
India Today
With domestic markets shut today, Friday's opening becomes the first real test of whether the recent rally can hold as investors react to fresh geopolitical developments and global market cues.
Just as Dalal Street staged a two-day recovery on hopes that US President Donald Trump was signalling a possible end to the Iran conflict, developments over the past 24 hours suggest that a clear resolution remains elusive, keeping global uncertainty elevated.
Over the past two sessions, the Sensex has rebounded over 2,500 points and the Nifty nearly 800 points, driven by hopes of easing tensions in West Asia.
However, that recovery could be tested on Friday as markets react to fresh developments following Thursday’s Ram Navami holiday.
The United States has put forward a 15-point framework aimed at ending the conflict, including a ceasefire, limits on Iran’s nuclear and missile programmes, and phased sanctions relief.
Iran has rejected the proposal as excessive and has instead outlined a five-point counter, demanding an immediate halt to attacks, guarantees against future military action, and broader recognition of its regional position.
Following recent developments, experts indicated that markets could remain volatile and may even decline tomorrow, as there has been no meaningful breakthrough in efforts to end the conflict.
Between December 3 and 5, 2025, IndiGo cancelled 2,507 flights and delayed 1,852 others, affecting over three lakh passengers nationwide. The disruptions were linked to challenges in implementing revised Flight Duty Time Limitation (FDTL) norms for pilots.
Oil prices jumped in the morning with Brent nearing $113, but later fell to around $100.34, down 6.2%, later in the day.
A look at Sensex stocks shows that IT names such as HCLTech, Tech Mahindra, and TCS were trading in the green, even as heavyweights across banking, auto, metal and consumption sectors saw sharp declines.
As of 10:26 am on MCX, gold futures were trading at Rs 1,37,307, down Rs 7,185 or 4.97%. Silver futures were at Rs 2,13,600, down Rs 13,172 or 5.81%.
The stock has seen a steep decline recently. In just two sessions, the share price fell from around Rs 843 to Rs 781 on the NSE, marking a drop of over 7%. After closing at Rs 781 on Friday, the stock is now only Rs 11 above its 52-week low of Rs 770.
As the war enters its fourth week, airlines are struggling to cope with a sharp rise in jet fuel prices, which have surged significantly in a short span of time. The impact is already visible for passengers, with ticket prices expected to rise in the coming months as airlines try to protect already thin profit margins.
The world is already feeling the heat as the West Asia conflict enters its fourth week, pushing global crude oil prices higher. In this article, we speak to experts to understand whether this shock could tip the world toward a recession.
The additional allocation will be subject to commercial establishments registering with oil companies and applying for a piped natural gas connection, according to a letter written by the oil secretary to states.
Civil Aviation Minister Ram Mohan Naidu said that the impact of the ongoing Iran war on the aviation sector is likely to be visible from April 1, when the Air Turbine Fuel (ATF) prices will be revised.
A new government directive on free seat allocation has triggered sharp opposition from airlines, who warn it could push up fares, hurt affordability and reshape how tickets are priced across India's aviation sector.
This is the third part of Lock & Key, a series that looks at how India's bank locker system works, the risks involved, and what customers need to know. After examining safety and insurance in the first two parts, this story focusses on a new problem – access.
The former RBI Govenor said a 15–20% global energy disruption would require sharp demand cuts, pushing oil to $150–$200 per barrel, risking severe economic stress if the conflict continues another month.
