Obamacare sign-ups drop, but the extent won't be clear for months

More Americans than expected enrolled in Affordable Care Act health insurance plans for this year, after premium subsidies were dramatically cut — but it remains to be seen whether they'll keep the coverage as their costs mount. In:

More Americans than expected enrolled in Affordable Care Act health insurance plans for this year, after premium subsidies were dramatically cut — but it remains to be seen whether they'll keep the coverage as their costs mount.

It's all part of a drama that roiled the ACA's 2026 open enrollment period. Congressional debate over whether to extend more generous subsidies made available under the Biden administration led to the longest-ever government shutdown and focused public attention on rising health care costs and the affordability issue.

The enhanced subsidies, which expanded eligibility both by lowering the percentage of household income people had to pay toward their care and removing an income cap, expired at the end of last year. As a result, just about everyone buying ACA coverage saw their costs increase. For some, what they paid toward premiums doubled or more, even though less generous subsidies remain in place.

Many experts expected ACA enrollment, which hit a record 24 million in 2025, to fall this time around.

"If you raise the price of something a whole lot, economics tell us that a lot of people will buy less of it or not buy at all," said Katherine Hempstead, a senior policy officer with the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation.