In economic speeches, Trump claims inflation victory nearly 20 times even as prices bite

Trump's claims of inflation victory clash with economic realities, risking Republican credibility ahead of crucial midterm elections.

Donald Trump has cast himself as Republicans’ chief messenger on the cost of living in an election year, but a Reuters review of his speeches shows a President repeatedly declaring inflation beaten while rarely acknowledging the strain many Americans say they still feel.

In five speeches on ‍the economy since December, Mr. Trump asserted that inflation had been beaten or was way down almost 20 times and said prices were falling almost 30 times, assertions at odds with economic data and voters’ daily experiences.

Much of the remaining time was spent on grievances and other issues, including immigration, whether Somalia was a country, and attacks on opponents. Taken together, the speeches portray a President struggling to reconcile his central claim — that he has fixed the cost-of-living crisis — with inflation ‌near 3% over the past year and voters lived experience of paying more for grocery staples. The price of ground beef, for example, is up 18% since Mr. Trump took office a year ago, while ground coffee prices are up 29%.

Republican strategists told Reuters that his mixed messaging on the top issue for voter’s risks creating a credibility gap for him and the Republican Party ahead of the November midterms, when control of Congress will be at stake. Opinion polls show voters are deeply unhappy with Mr. Trump’s handling of the economy.

“He can’t continue to make claims that are demonstrably false, particularly at the expense of Republicans who are in competitive House districts or Senate races,” said Rob Godfrey, a Republican strategist. Mr. Trump “must be disciplined and focused,” he added.

One source close to the White House said the President needed to hit the issue of affordability harder and through personal visits to critical districts. “He needs to bring the message out because the message is not resonating,” the source said, speaking on condition of anonymity to more freely discuss the issue.