Your morning cup of coffee is about to cost even more — thanks to U.S. tariffs

The price of a cup of coffee in Canada is expected to rise as the world continues to feel the effects of U.S President Donald Trump's tariffs, according to industry experts and cafés.

Trump had threatened extremely steep tariffs on coffee-producing countries like Vietnam, Indonesia and India earlier this month — before saying he would pause those tariff rates and impose a 10 per cent baseline rate for all imported goods.

While those rates would be paid by U.S. importers, many Canadian coffee roasters and brands source their product from U.S. wholesalers and warehouses.

Experts say this means the price of coffee in Canada, which has been on the rise for years, will go up further as Canadian coffee brands have to pay the increased costs, as well as counter-tariffs on U.S. goods that they import.

"It's definitely going to be a  shock, I think, for Canadian coffee roasters, Canadian importers, businesses that sell coffee in Canada," said Stuart McCook, a history professor at the University of Guelph.

"It marks a real shift from a historical relationship, where the Canadian and American coffee trade were very tightly integrated and goods tended to flow with a few to no tariffs."

The professor said it's hard to know exactly how much consumers will end up paying as tariffs take hold.

Robert Carter, the Coffee Association of Canada (CAC) president, said the spectre of tariffs adds to the fact that raw green coffee bean prices are already at the highest levels in years.

Statistics Canada data shows that the price of coffee in B.C. went up 15 per cent from 2024 to 2025 alone, a jump of a dollar for a bag of coffee.

"The expectation is that we will continue to see elevated prices for some time," Carter said. "There are some other elements such as climate change that are really affecting crop harvests and whatnot.

"It's going to be a difficult period for coffee ... for the foreseeable future overall and then the tariffs, obviously, just adding a little bit of fuel to that fire."

The CAC estimates that 74 per cent of Canadians drink a cup of joe daily. And the country imported more than 25 million kilograms of coffee in June 2024 alone, Statistics Canada said. 

In addition to the tariffs on coffee-producing countries, Trump has imposed 25 per cent tariffs on Canadian goods that aren't compliant with the Canada-U.S.-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA) — and coffee isn't included in that free trade policy.

That means any Canadian companies that buy raw coffee beans, and then roast or process them and want to sell products to the U.S., would face steep markups.