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What would have to happen in Parliament to trigger an early election?

What would have to happen in Parliament to trigger an early election?

CBC
Sunday, September 15, 2024 09:46:56 AM UTC

MPs return Monday to a House of Commons that promises to be even more volatile than it was when they left it in June.

The end of the Liberal-NDP governance agreement makes an early election more likely but not inevitable.

A party can only continue governing as long as it has the "confidence" of the House — the support of a majority of MPs.

If a government loses an important vote, known as a "confidence" vote, it is deemed to have lost the confidence of the House. An election usually follows — although other parties can make a case to the Governor General that they have the confidence of the House and can govern. (The Liberals, NDP and Bloc prepared to make such a case in 2008.)

The confidence convention makes governing in a minority Parliament more difficult. The NDP had pledged to support the Liberals on confidence votes in exchange for movement on their policy priorities, but that support is no longer guaranteed.

Here's what would have to happen in Ottawa to trigger an early election.

Certain votes traditionally fall into the confidence category because they deal explicitly with the business of governing.

Votes on throne speeches, which outline a government's priorities at the beginning of a new session, are always considered confidence votes. The Liberals already have put forward a throne speech during this session; they'll only need to present a new one before the next election if they end the current session by proroguing Parliament.

Major finance bills — such as a budgets, supplementary estimates or fall economic statements that include new spending — are typically considered confidence votes.

Joe Clark's short-lived Progressive Conservative government lost a budget vote in December of 1979, sending Canadians to polls for the second time in the space of a year.

The next fall economic statement should come before the House rises for its winter break in December. The next budget won't be tabled until spring.

The most common confidence votes happen as a result of opposition motions.

Each opposition party is allotted a certain amount of "opposition days" or "supply days," when their motions take priority over government business.

A government can declare any motion a vote of confidence. The Liberals did so in 2020 when the opposition was pressing for a probe of the government's pandemic spending, including the WE scandal.

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