Trump’s Sun Belt surge warns of a Rust Belt electoral danger

Donald Trump’s first election redrew the map of American politics — suddenly Pennsylvania and Michigan were in the Republican column for the first time since the 1980s.

But they didn’t stay there: The Rust Belt states that made Trump president in 2016 sent Joe Biden to the White House in 2020.

That second Trump election also redrew the map, this time forfeiting two Sun Belt states that had been Republican for decades, Arizona and Georgia, to the Democrat.

Which map will Trump draw this time?

Polls show him ahead in the Sun Belt and Rust Belt alike, and indications that black and Hispanic voters are trending Trump’s way have Republicans giddy.

Will this election upend political demographics the way the last two shook up electoral geography?