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There are 3 steps Carney must take to get a truce from Trump

There are 3 steps Carney must take to get a truce from Trump

CBC
Thursday, May 01, 2025 03:08:56 PM UTC

Canada's newly elected prime minister will soon meet with U.S. President Donald Trump. Reaching a deal with him? That's another matter.

Trump said Wednesday that Carney will visit the White House within about a week and that the PM wants to make a deal.

But Carney has three major steps to get through in order to arrive at the comprehensive trade and security pact he's seeking. They are the three Ps: personnel, process and policy.

Look to this meeting — expected in the "near future" according to the Prime Minister's Office (PMO) — for early clues on how those negotiations might work. Which people will lead it? What process will they follow? And what policies are on the table?

The ultimate goal, obviously, is a more functional relationship with the United States, including an easing of Trump's 25 per cent tariffs on steel, aluminum and certain other products.

One uniquely well-placed analyst says it was Carney's idea to package the tariff talk with the broader security conversation. 

Brian Clow managed U.S. relations in Justin Trudeau's PMO and said that office had been dealing with one tariff threat after another.

Carney "has the opportunity to reset and restart the relationship here," said Clow, who is not involved in the present government, and was speaking as an observer.

"I'm choosing to be optimistic at this stage that we will get real results."

But first, there's Step 1, says Clow: assembling a team and deciding Canada's key point people — like who will hold the relevant cabinet roles, who will lead the process, and will there be a lead negotiator named?

Step 2 involves the process. What mechanism will these talks unfold under? There's a slow one: the scheduled review of the Canada-U.S.-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA) which is supposed to start next year.

But that process would take months just to get started. By law, the U.S. has to perform 270 days of consultation with the general public and Congress before starting talks with Canada and Mexico.

Another option is an informal arrangement — a handshake deal.

A third possibility is a combination of both — initial talks, followed by the formal process months later.  

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