Sensex, Nifty opening: Will stock market fall today amid Iran's war with US, Israel?
India Today
Early signals from Gift Nifty suggest a weak start. Gift Nifty futures were trading at 25,60 points at 8:30 am. This indicates that the benchmark Nifty 50 may open below Friday's close of 25,178.65.
Stock market is likely to open lower on Monday as rising tensions in the Middle East weigh on global sentiment. Iran is now at the centre of a war involving the US and Israel. Fresh strikes over the weekend have pushed crude oil prices sharply higher and led investors to move towards safer assets.
Early signals from Gift Nifty suggest a weak start. Gift Nifty futures were trading at 25,60 points at 8:30 am. This indicates that the benchmark Nifty 50 may open below Friday’s close of 25,178.65.
Gaurav Udani, Founder - ThinCredBlu Securities, said, “Gift Nifty is indicating a negative start, with Nifty likely to open near 25,100, down close to 100 points. The index continues to trade within a downward-sloping channel, reflecting persistent selling pressure in recent sessions.”
He added, “The 25,100 level is now a critical lower boundary. A sustained move below this zone could trigger a technical sell-off toward the 24,700 levels. On the upside, resistance is placed at 25,350–25,400, while immediate support lies in the 25,100–24,950 band.”
Referring to the global situation, he said, “Adding to the cautious tone is the ongoing geopolitical tension, with war-related developments keeping global risk sentiment fragile. Such environments tend to amplify volatility and reduce follow-through on intraday recoveries. Until the index stabilises above resistance or reclaims key levels, traders should remain defensive, expect sharp swings in both directions, and maintain strict stop-losses in their positions.”
Oil prices have jumped more than 7% on Monday to their highest level in months. Brent crude futures rose to around $82.40 a barrel, the highest in 14 months. The surge came after US-Israeli strikes on Iran over the weekend reportedly killed Tehran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. The news has increased uncertainty for the global economy.
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Early signals from the derivatives market suggest a positive start. GIFT Nifty futures were trading at 23,257 at around 08:11 am, indicating that the Nifty 50 may open above Friday's closing level of 23,151.10.
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