Primary Country (Mandatory)

Other Country (Optional)

Set News Language for United States

Primary Language (Mandatory)
Other Language[s] (Optional)
No other language available

Set News Language for World

Primary Language (Mandatory)
Other Language(s) (Optional)

Set News Source for United States

Primary Source (Mandatory)
Other Source[s] (Optional)

Set News Source for World

Primary Source (Mandatory)
Other Source(s) (Optional)
  • Countries
    • India
    • United States
    • Qatar
    • Germany
    • China
    • Canada
    • World
  • Categories
    • National
    • International
    • Business
    • Entertainment
    • Sports
    • Special
    • All Categories
  • Available Languages for United States
    • English
  • All Languages
    • English
    • Hindi
    • Arabic
    • German
    • Chinese
    • French
  • Sources
    • India
      • AajTak
      • NDTV India
      • The Hindu
      • India Today
      • Zee News
      • NDTV
      • BBC
      • The Wire
      • News18
      • News 24
      • The Quint
      • ABP News
      • Zee News
      • News 24
    • United States
      • CNN
      • Fox News
      • Al Jazeera
      • CBSN
      • NY Post
      • Voice of America
      • The New York Times
      • HuffPost
      • ABC News
      • Newsy
    • Qatar
      • Al Jazeera
      • Al Arab
      • The Peninsula
      • Gulf Times
      • Al Sharq
      • Qatar Tribune
      • Al Raya
      • Lusail
    • Germany
      • DW
      • ZDF
      • ProSieben
      • RTL
      • n-tv
      • Die Welt
      • Süddeutsche Zeitung
      • Frankfurter Rundschau
    • China
      • China Daily
      • BBC
      • The New York Times
      • Voice of America
      • Beijing Daily
      • The Epoch Times
      • Ta Kung Pao
      • Xinmin Evening News
    • Canada
      • CBC
      • Radio-Canada
      • CTV
      • TVA Nouvelles
      • Le Journal de Montréal
      • Global News
      • BNN Bloomberg
      • Métro
Political polls are hitting overdrive. Here's a quick guide to understanding them

Political polls are hitting overdrive. Here's a quick guide to understanding them

CBC
Saturday, March 22, 2025 09:38:51 AM UTC

On Sunday, Prime Minister Mark Carney is expected to ask the Governor General to dissolve Parliament and call a federal election. From that point on, Canada's federal parties will hit the campaign trail — and pollsters will be closely tracking who Canadians plan to support.

Political polls are a mainstay in any election campaign, and their frequency will increase once the election gets underway. So why do political polls matter, and what should you watch for when reading the results?

CBC Radio's The House spoke to two poll analysts to explain.

Philippe Fournier, editor-in-chief of 338Canada.com, said when he sees poll results, he first checks who actually ran the poll "because we know that pollsters are not created equal."

"There are really good pollsters in this country, but there are also some pollsters that have [a less-tested] track record as others," he told host Catherine Cullen.

CBC's Poll Tracker collects data from several Canadian pollsters, including Liaison Strategies, Leger, Ipsos, Angus Reid Institute, Nanos Research, EKOS Research, Innovative Research Group, Mainstreet Research and Abacus Data.

Fournier also said he checks the sample size of a given poll, but the figure is often between 1,000 to 2,000 people with the occasional big sample size of 4,000 respondents.

Those larger sample sizes can allow pollsters to have a clearer idea of regional support, Fournier said, since there are more respondents from various provinces and territories.

Poll aggregators like CBC's Poll Tracker include an estimated number of seats a federal party could win in an election. How does that work?

Éric Grenier, who runs TheWrit.ca and CBC's Poll Tracker, said his system takes the results from the previous federal election, looks at how polls have changed since that time and "swing[s] the results in each riding across the country to the same extent."

"If a party's doubled its support in a region, then you double their support in each riding within that region," Grenier told host Catherine Cullen. "And that gives us a pretty accurate beat on who would win the most seats."

It's not a perfect system and there are going to be individual errors, Grenier said, "but it's a useful tool to try and understand an election campaign."

According to CBC's Poll Tracker, the Liberals lead the Conservatives by a razor-thin margin in the polls — and the Liberals currently control the federal government.

With those conditions, Grenier said the Liberals could form government again.

Read full story on CBC
Share this story on:-
More Related News
Schools closed, thousands without power on P.E.I. as strong winds hit the province

All public schools on P.E.I. are closed Friday and thousands of Maritime Electric customers are without power as strong winds create hazardous travel conditions across the province.

Prince Rupert, B.C., celebrating the holidays with Christmas tree made out of crab traps

Prince Rupert, B.C., residents are celebrating the holidays this year with coastal flair.

Hamilton food programs facing triple threat of sky-high demand, higher food prices and fewer donations

In the four years Chelsey Simmonds has worked at the Eva Rothwell Centre, she has seen the need increase every year at the centre’s community food pantry.

Make the Season Kind with CBC Windsor

CBC is once again looking to make the holiday season kind in Windsor-Essex.

Acute Care Alberta extends contract with Edmonton surgical centre tied to procurement probes

Acute Care Alberta has extended its contract for another year with a private surgical facility at the centre of probes into health procurement and contracting.

How food security partners in Thunder Bay, Ont., are addressing rising demands

As food bank use continues to climb across the province, front-line workers in Thunder Bay, Ont., are working to improve both food security and education.

TTC considering flip-book style advertising on subway tunnel walls

More ads could soon be coming to Toronto’s subway system.

OPP identify driver wanted in connection with fatal hit and run on Hwy 401

The driver wanted in connection with a fatal hit and run on Highway 401 earlier this week has been identified, police say.

Mixed feelings in nearby community about proposed Grays Bay road and port project

There are mixed feelings about the proposed Grays Bay road and port project, among people who live in nearby communities.

Police find 'I hate my child' search made on couple's device 2 days before boy, 12, died

WARNING: This story details allegations of child abuse and includes graphic content.

OPP charge 23-year-old with second degree murder in Lambton Shores homicide

Provincial police in Lambton County have charged a 23-year-old man with second degree murder following a death investigation that began this past Saturday.

Justice minister hopes new group tackles provincial court suspension by February

The Newfoundland and Labrador government is forming a working group to tackle what it calls systemic issues in the justice system, but answers or solutions could still be months away.

Driver pleads guilty in Truro death where victim was dragged under car

A woman has pleaded guilty to dangerous driving causing death in a 2024 fatal hit and run in Truro, N.S., where the victim was dragged down the street, a case that went unsolved for more than six months.

Former Alberta premier Jason Kenney says recall legislation being misused

The architect of Alberta's politician recall legislation says it was never meant to be used as a political weapon, but as an "ultimate tool of accountability" if a politician engages in illegal or unethical behaviour.

Sask. introduces involuntary treatment legislation as fall sitting ends

The Government of Saskatchewan has introduced its long-promised involuntary treatment legislation on the final day of the fall sitting.

Law society suspends licence of Deepak Paradkar, Ontario lawyer tied to alleged drug lord Ryan Wedding

The Law Society of Ontario has suspended the licence of Deepak Paradkar, one of seven Canadians arrested in connection with alleged drug lord Ryan Wedding’s cocaine smuggling ring.

LHSC ending unlimited mental health benefits saying popularity made it too expensive

London Health Sciences Centre (LHSC) is getting rid of unlimited mental health benefits for staff, blaming ballooning costs and former administrators for implementing it without proper due diligence or oversight.

Netflix to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery for $72B US

Netflix has agreed to buy Warner Bros. Discovery's TV and film studios and streaming division for $72 billion US, a deal that would hand control of one of Hollywood's most prized and oldest assets to the streaming pioneer that has upended the media industry.

CBC Calgary launches annual Make the Season Kind campaign

CBC Calgary kicks off its annual Make the Season Kind campaign this morning at Fratello Coffee Roasters. 

Make the Season Kind: Join CBC N.L. in helping raise money for local food banks

CBC Newfoundland and Labrador is kicking off its annual holiday campaign, helping to raise money to support local food banks.

Long-awaited electronic medical records system to launch Saturday at IWK Health Centre

If all goes according to plan, at 6 a.m. AT on Saturday people working at the IWK Health Centre will become the test case for a generational change to Nova Scotia’s health-care system.

New military spending triggers anticipation among N.B. defence community

One month after Prime Minister Mark Carney announced what he called "generational" military spending, New Brunswick’s defence ecosystem is on high alert.

'Needing help is scary,' says small business owner who is fighting stigma around using food banks

Miranda Mirlycourtois, 34, looks directly at the camera and makes a confession.

Saskatoon police projected to be $2.6M over budget this year

Saskatoon city hall says police spending is projected to be $2.6 million over budget this year. That pushes the city into a $1.2-million deficit position, according to a report that will be considered by city council next week.

New U of R student association makes pitch of optimism ahead of referendum

Students at the University of Regina are days away from deciding whether a newly formed student association should become their official representative body.

© 2008 - 2025 Webjosh  |  News Archive  |  Privacy Policy  |  Contact Us