People are already putting money on SOTU. See prediction market odds
USA TODAY
People are using Kalshi and Polymarket to put money on a few things related to Donald Trump's State of the Union address. See the odds from the bets.
President Donald Trump will address the nation on Tuesday, Feb. 24, in his first State of the Union of his second term.
It comes as his approval ratings are nearly as low as they have been since returning to the White House, and his administration received a major setback in a Supreme Court ruling against some of his tariffs. A handful of Democratic wins in elections since his last address to joint sessions of Congress last year spells trouble for Republicans in the upcoming midterm elections.
Trump must decide how to navigate this difficult moment in what is likely his biggest speech of the year. But lots of people are hoping to make money off of accurately guessing how the evening plays out.
Prediction markets have people placing money on everything from sporting contest outcomes to award show winners to snowfall totals. That includes politics. Here are some of the bets being placed on the State of the Union:
The Excerpt: Are prediction markets democratizing information or gamifying war?
Trump pushes countries to help secure the Strait of Hormuz amid rising Middle East tensions and stalled international commitments.
The U.S. Postal Service faces massive losses and may run out of money next year, prompting a congressional hearing and debate over its priorities.
Illinois voters go to polls on March 17.
The Israeli military said the brother of the man who attacked a Michigan synagogue was a Hezbollah commander and was recently killed in an airstrike.
President Donald Trump encouraged TSA agents to \
As the war against Iran enters its third week, the White House says ground troops are 'not part of the plan.' Seasoned Kurdish fighters disagree.
Videos on social media showed a large fire and people throwing rocks through the windows of a building as voices shouted \
A law passed in 2025 making it tougher to claim Italian citizenship was upheld by the country's Constitutional Court.
FCC Chair Brendan Carr said news broadcasters coverage of Iran war could impact their license renewal.
The design was finalized in 2024, before Trump took office. The artist and U.S. Mint say it symbolizes the early U.S. quest for freedom from Britain.
The overnight strikes did not impact the islands oil infrastructure, U.S. and Iranian officials said.
Trump's recent executive order to increase the production of glyphosate might derail MAHA voters' support for the GOP, the movement’s leaders say.