
As provincial population booms, report suggests Medicine Hat could fall behind
CBC
Closing schools, stalled housing starts — not common headlines in Alberta's booming cities.
But that's been the case in Medicine Hat, Alta., where low population growth since 2010 now paints a forecast of near stagnation for the next 25 years as other Alberta centres grow steadily.
A Statistics Canada report in January predicted Alberta's largest cities — and even the small and mid-sized centres in their orbits — will continue to grow rapidly, as the province moves above seven million residents by the middle of the century.
But figures for Medicine Hat are generally flat, an issue that has coloured civic elections and coffee shop discussions.
Academics say that is a symptom of the increased economic gravity of the Highway 2 corridor in the province and will be hard to reverse.
But the mayor of Medicine Hat says the city is hoping to beat expectations.
"I'm hopeful and pretty confident that we'll grow at a steady pace," Mayor Linnsie Clark told CBC News.
She first came to office in 2021 campaigning on "smart growth," and stating the Hat should grow to 110,000 residents to better use existing infrastructure and to raise tax assessment without raising the tax burden on individuals.
"There's a lot of opportunity to grow … we definitely want to do so in a strategic manner," Clark said this month.
For that to happen, however, the city of 68,700 residents today would have to grow at a rate 20 times higher than predicted by Statistics Canada.
Its medium growth scenario is for 71,700 residents by 2050 — less than one-tenth the growth forecast for some other mid-sized cities.
A net loss of population is the worst case, though Clark points to positive signals.
After years of controversy, and a major remake of city hall's economic development office, Clark says city council is ready to work together.
It has hinted the city-owned power plant could announce new clients soon, and recent federal defence announcements align with a city goal of building an aerospace hub.













