1,800 Afghan newcomers could move to Waterloo region by 2023

An estimated 1,800 Afghan newcomers could move to Waterloo region over the next two years, which means regional service providers must prepare for an increased demand on services.

Immigration Partnership, a group made up of more than 60 organizations with a goal to ease immigration to the region, launched a task force last November to focus on the resettlement of Afghan newcomers.

The task force prepared an update to a regional committee Tuesday that suggests roughly 1,800 Afghan newcomers could move to the region over 2022 and 2023, along with refugees from other countries. The prediction was made based on similar numbers from the Syrian refugee resettlement program back in 2015 and 2016.

"That's a working estimate that we're trying to use to support planning in the community, but our numbers could end up being very different from that," said Tara Bedard, executive director of Immigration Partnership.

This prediction includes the current Afghan newcomers that have moved to Waterloo region.

As of December 2021, 211 people have settled into the region and at least 60 per cent of them have moved into permanent housing. The remaining families are living in temporary accommodation sites in Cambridge and Waterloo, including the Comfort Inn.

It's unclear what the flow of newcomers will look like, but Bedard said community partners, including service organizations and resettlement agencies, are assessing their needs and planning for multiple scenarios.

"We've been talking about, given the complexity of the situation in Afghanistan, it's not likely to be just a steady flow of people who come into the community. What would a surge look like? How do we respond to that?" said Bedard.

"We started working with our school boards, our health system leaders, people in the housing sector and with groups that are focused on what this community welcoming and integration looks like to prepare systems to be able to welcome this kind of bigger group."

Reception House, for example, is working with local school boards to ensure children living in temporary accommodation can still go to school, despite not having a permanent address, said Lynne Griffiths-Fulton, interim CEO of the agency.

Staff are also working with health-care partners to seek primary care physicians who will take on refugee families.

"There will need to be some more planning done at various different levels and within systems to ensure that they can accommodate those numbers," said Griffiths-Fulton.

She said the agency has the capacity to expand its system to help more people, but that's with help from partners in other sectors.

"I think the big challenges are going to be the education piece … employment … health care … and housing, ensuring that there [is] affordable housing," she said.