WH study warns 9 million Americans could lose health insurance in 'major' recession if Trump budget bill fails

The White House Council of Economic Advisors estimates 8.2 to 9.2 million people could lose health insurance if the Trump 2017 tax cuts aren't renewed.

The research assumes that the U.S. had approximately 27 million uninsured people in 2025. If the budget bill does not pass, that could increase to approximately 36 million uninsured people, far closer to the approximately 50 million people who were uninsured before the implementation of the Affordable Care Act (ACA), also known as Obamacare, in 2010, according to the memo. Danielle Wallace is a breaking news and politics reporter at Fox News Digital. Story tips can be sent to danielle.wallace@fox.com and on X: @danimwallace. 

The memo says the estimate is "based on the assumption that states which expanded Medicaid with relatively generous eligibility will pull back to meet balanced budget requirements and try to provide more unemployment support during a severe recession." It also qualifies its conclusions by saying the analysis assumes "no policy countermeasures," which the White House describes as a "very unlikely but plausible worse case" scenario.