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NDP inches ahead in Calgary, but new poll suggests it may not be enough

NDP inches ahead in Calgary, but new poll suggests it may not be enough

CTV
Friday, May 26, 2023 12:33:33 AM UTC

Just days before Albertans head to the polls, new research suggests Rachel Notley's NDP holds a modest edge in battleground Calgary.

Just days before Albertans head to the polls, new research suggests Rachel Notley's NDP holds a modest edge in battleground Calgary.

The latest numbers from ThinkHQ Public Affairs show a New Democrat lead in the seat-rich city, but it still may not be enough to give Alberta another ‘Orange Crush’.

City-wide, the survey says the NDP holds 49 per cent of the decided vote, followed closely by the UCP with 43 per cent.

Ten per cent of voters remain undecided: a sizeable dip from polls earlier in the campaign.

ThinkHQ president Marc Henry says the numbers show Monday's election could come down to the wire.

"Technically speaking, the two parties could be tied, and many of these seats look very competitive," he said. "If these numbers hold over the weekend, the adage about horseshoes and hand grenades may apply here for the NDP. They could expect to capture up to nine additional seats, but it would still leave them short of forming government.

"The path to victory has always been easier for the UCP, given the number of safe rural seats they hold."

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