Loonie struggles: This is what is dragging the Canadian dollar lower
BNN Bloomberg
The Canadian dollar’s drop against the greenback is partially due to close ties with resource and commodity prices, according to one foreign exchange strategist, causing it to be sensitive to swings in global growth and equity market trends.
The Canadian dollar fell below the 75 cents U.S. mark Monday morning to the lowest point since early November 2020. Shaun Osborne, a chief foreign exchange strategist at Scotiabank, said in a note to clients Monday the current risk backdrop and U.S. equity market trends appear to be the most significant factors driving the downward performance of Canada’s currency.
“The Canadian dollar generally is treated as what's termed a high beta currency. That's to say it's been a resource-based economy, the Canadian dollar and its linkages to resource prices [and] commodity prices are sensitive to swings in global growth or the outlook for global growth,” Osborne said in a phone interview Monday morning.
Equity market trends are an important benchmark of investors’ feelings about the growth outlook, Osborne said.
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A key question hangs over the Federal Reserve’s two-day meeting that ends Wednesday: Will central bank policymakers still reduce short-term interest rates this year, now that the Iran war has sent oil prices higher and gas prices spiking? Or will they have to stand pat for months to see how the conflict plays out?
Wall Street followed global markets higher Wednesday and the price of U.S. crude fell eased despite a new barrage of attacks by Iran on its Gulf neighbors.
Jay Allen is a fan of U.S. President Donald Trump, and voted for him on the belief that the Republican would cut taxes and trim regulations, helping his manufacturing business in northeast Arkansas.
Shares advanced Wednesday in Europe and Asia as oil prices fell back slightly despite a barrage of attacks by Iran on its Gulf neighbours.
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Oil prices resumed their rise on Tuesday because of the war with Iran, but U.S. stocks held steadier this time around.
Oil prices above $100 add pressure on inflation and growth, complicating rate decisions for central banks.
Closing arguments are set to kick off Tuesday in a trial pitting Elon Musk against Twitter shareholders who say the world’s richest man engaged in a pattern of deceptive behavior that misled investors as he attempted to back out of his US$44-billion deal to buy the social media platform in 2022.
Markets in Canada and the U.S. were up in late-morning trading on Tuesday despite the ongoing war in Iran.
St. Patrick’s Day will test restaurant bar sales as Canadians drink less, with declining consumption and shifting habits weighing on industry revenues.
New York Stock Exchange-parent Intercontinental Exchange said on Tuesday it has launched a product to bring greater transparency to the private credit market, an asset class beleaguered by heightened investor concerns.
Oil tankers are crossing the Strait of Hormuz and Iran’s actions to choke traffic through the shipping route have not hurt the U.S. economy, White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett told CNBC on Tuesday, reiterating the Trump administration’s position that the war should be over in weeks, not months.