James Telfser's Top Picks: November 24, 2022
BNN Bloomberg
Top picks from James Telfser, partner and portfolio manager, Aventine Investment Counsel
FOCUS: North American stocks
MARKET OUTLOOK:
While we are encouraged that central banks have begun to soften their language and that we might be past peak hawkishness, what remains to be seen is the damage done to corporate profitability from the previous tightening of financial conditions. Earnings in the third-quarter have mostly surprised positively, yet the bond market is still calling for a significant recession, as the entire yield curve remains inverted. While still heavily underwater, stocks and bonds have begun to inflect positively recently. In addition, gold is looking increasingly attractive as central banks globally purchased a record amount in the third-quarter, a trend which seems set to continue. While we believe the market is likely to continue to see heightened volatility in the near-term, and we are currently holding a higher-than-average cash weighting across portfolios, there are several companies that are performing exceptionally well even in the current uncertain environment. We are selectively adding exposure to both equities and fixed income as we sense that these opportunities could prove to be short-lived.
Every day more than $4 billion worth of goods cross the United States’ borders with Canada and Mexico – U.S. auto parts headed for car factories in northern Mexico, cartons of Mexican avocados bound for California supermarkets, Canadian aluminum destined to become cans of Campbell Soup.
Prime Minister Mark Carney met Monday with Prime Minister Keir Starmer in London, and while both remarked the world has become a more challenging place since their first meeting a year ago, neither named a specific issue.
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has unveiled a new auto plan that aims to secure tariff-free access to the U.S. market.
Prime Minister Mark Carney says that countries like Canada do not need to have oil reserves as a net exporter, after the energy minister announced Canada will contribute 23.6 million barrels to help stabilize international energy markets.
The U.S. military said all six airmen aboard a KC-135 refuelling aircraft that went down in Iraq are dead. Meanwhile, the American defence secretary says Iran's new supreme leader is "likely disfigured" and a large explosion rocked an area of Iran's capital.
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre is promising to release a new auto pact that he says will remove the GST on all Canadian-made automobiles and eliminate tariffs for the sale of Canadian vehicles to the United States.
Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei issued his first statement on the war on Thursday, saying Iran should close the Strait of Hormuz and keep attacking its Gulf Arab neighbors as leverage. Khamenei also called on people in Gulf countries to “shut down” U.S. bases, saying promised U.S. protection is “nothing more than a lie.”
Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei issued his first statement on the war on Thursday, saying Iran should close the Strait of Hormuz and keep attacking its Gulf Arab neighbors as leverage. Khamenei also called on people in Gulf countries to “shut down” U.S. bases, saying promised U.S. protection is “nothing more than a lie.”
Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei issued his first statement on the war on Thursday, saying that the leverage of closing the Strait of Hormuz should be used and that Iran will keep attacking its Gulf Arab neighbors. Khamenei also called on Gulf countries to “shut down” U.S. bases, saying promised U.S. protection is “nothing more than a lie.”
Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei says that the leverage of closing the Strait of Hormuz should be used and that Iran’s attacks on Gulf Arab neighbours will continue. His first statement since his appointment was read on state television Thursday by a news anchor.
Prime Minister Mark Carney is again heading overseas, this time to Norway to observe NATO Cold Response exercises as Canada deepens ties with Nordic countries.
The Canadian Security Intelligence Service says the threat level in Canada from Iran or its proxies has not changed since the war in Iran began nearly two weeks ago, while adding that threat-related activities are “likely to continue.”
Ottawa is letting an unnamed automaker import a higher quota of U.S.-made vehicles without tariffs because the company is selling and making more cars in Canada than first expected.