India Covid Peak In Coming Days, Then 20,000 A Day By June-End: Forecast

Infections have surged by more than 300,000 cases for 15 straight days, pushing India's total tally past 21 million.

A mathematical model prepared by advisers to Prime Minister Narendra Modi suggests India's coronavirus outbreak could peak in the coming days, but the group's projections have been changing and were wrong last month. The team's most recent forecast puts them more in line with at least some other scientists, who have suggested a mid-May peak for India. India reported a record 412,262 new infections and 3,980 deaths on Thursday, with experts saying that the reported figures likely underplay the real toll because the nation's crematoriums and hospitals have been overwhelmed. That makes the assessment of any peak particularly complicated. Still, estimates may become crucial because PM Modi has been avoiding a national lockdown, choosing instead to allow states to implement their own restrictions to curb the spread.