
Here’s a response to all of the ‘Yeah, buts’ that followed my 2026 economic forecast
NY Post
A lot of my readers, it appears, can’t imagine my bullish 2026 forecast playing out, and “Yeah, but” has been a popular refrain. Yeah, but what about midterm mayhem? Yeah, but look at these bubblicious valuations! Yeah, but isn’t this bull market getting long in the tooth? Yeah, but how ‘bout that wimpy dollar?
It is all beautiful and bullish music to my ears – showing that, despite broadly building optimism, the stock market’s wall of worry remains intact. Let’s kick these “buts.”
Yeah, midterms may have usually driven gridlock, powering your “midterm miracle.” But Trump makes this time different.
Sir John Templeton famously said the four most dangerous words in investing are “This time is different.” People said 2022’s midterms were different. They weren’t.
The president’s party lost seats in the House of Representatives in 22 of 25 midterms since 1926, shedding a median 26 seats. In the Senate, it lost a median of four seats. President Trump must radically up his approval rating — now 36% versus the 59% long-term average for presidents at this point in their presidency — to achieve a gridlock-busting result (based on Gallup polls).
Yeah, you say AI hasn’t created a bubble. But what about frothy S&P 500 valuations?

After nearly 50 years in Orange County, Yamaha Motor Corp. USA is packing up its headquarters — trading Cypress, California for Kennesaw, Georgia in a sweeping corporate shift that will impact about 250 workers.The motorcycle and motorsports giant says the move is part of major “structural reforms” meant to boost profits as costs climb — including pressure from tariffs imposed during the administration of President Donald Trump and shifting market conditions.












