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Conservative lead over Liberals narrows while NDP support drops: Nanos

Conservative lead over Liberals narrows while NDP support drops: Nanos

CTV
Wednesday, April 03, 2024 11:12:35 AM UTC

The federal Liberals are narrowing the months-old gap with the Conservative party, with a former 20-percentage point Conservative ballot advantage shrinking to a 12-point lead, according to latest tracking data from Nanos Research.

The federal Liberals are narrowing the months-old gap with the Conservative party, with a former 20-percentage point Conservative ballot advantage shrinking to a 12-point lead, according to latest tracking data from Nanos Research.

The Conservatives under Pierre Poilievre have maintained a safe lead over the Liberals since September, reaching a nearly 20-percentage point gap a month ago, with 42.8 per cent support compared to the Liberals' 23.8 per cent.

But new Nanos ballot tracking shows the Conservatives are now closer to 38 per cent, compared to the Liberals at 26 per cent.

"What we're seeing is a little negative pressure on the Conservative numbers," Nanos Research founder Nik Nanos said in the latest episode of CTV News Trend Line. "We talked about this before, when the Conservatives were at like 43 (per cent), you knew that they were never going to sustain that."

He added that while the Conservatives have been in the "driver's seat" since late last summer, there's now been "some movement."

"So that said, they've still got a 12-point advantage," he said. "But it'll be interesting to see whether this continues, or whether this 10-point or 12-point advantage is the new normal."

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