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Chance of privately developed pipeline almost ‘zero’ if no government stopgap: former Alberta energy minister

Chance of privately developed pipeline almost ‘zero’ if no government stopgap: former Alberta energy minister

CBC
Saturday, January 10, 2026 12:41:19 AM UTC

A former Alberta energy minister says a proposed bitumen pipeline to the northwest B.C. coast is unlikely to materialize if Canada relies on the private sector alone to build it.

“I would say it's not just diminishing, the likelihood of a private sector proponent … I would almost say it is zero at this point,” Sonya Savage said on CBC's West of Centre podcast.

The former United Conservative minister's caution comes as Premier Danielle Smith argued that Ottawa act with new urgency to green-light that pipeline, highlighting the U.S. capture of Venezuela leader Nicolas Maduro and prospect of increased oil development in that country as a new reason.

On Friday, Smith shared on social media a letter written to Prime Minister Mark Carney after meeting with him to discuss what's happening in Venezuela, whose heavy oil exports are similar to what the Alberta oilsands produce.

In it, she says Alberta intends to submit its application for a pipeline to the Major Projects Office by June — and she asked that it gets approved by this fall.

"Any delay risks ceding market share, losing investment, and undermining Canada's competitive position in a rapidly changing global energy landscape," Smith writes in the letter.

She also asked for regulatory approvals for all nation-building projects to be completed within six months. Carney's major projects office, established last year, currently aims to complete regulatory reviews within two years.

Smith's letter calls that timeline "woefully long."

In November, Prime Minister Mark Carney and Alberta Premier Danielle Smith signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) to collaborate on a new bitumen pipeline. While Alberta intends to apply as the lead proponent, the agreement stresses that the project would be privately constructed and financed.

After the MOU was signed, industry watchers told CBC News that pipeline companies might want a financial commitment from Alberta or Ottawa to backstop cost overruns that are outside of a company’s control.

Savage said that is not a new concept for Canada.

“The TransCanada mainline gas line in the 1950s would not have been built without federal government intervention. They set up a Crown corporation, they backstopped it. Enbridge’s Line 9 in the 1970s would not have been built without a federal government backstop.”

Though Alberta and Ottawa have referred to the northwest coast oil pipeline as “nation-building” infrastructure, that sentiment is not uniformly shared amongst Canada’s leaders.

Earlier this week, B.C. Premier David Eby said if tax dollars are being considered, Canada should instead consider building a new oil refinery rather than a pipeline to the province's north coast.

Read full story on CBC
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