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Bank of Canada's rapid rate hikes likely to cause a recession, study finds

Bank of Canada's rapid rate hikes likely to cause a recession, study finds

BNN Bloomberg
Tuesday, July 05, 2022 03:53:25 PM UTC

The Bank of Canada's strategy of rapidly increasing its key interest rate in an effort to tackle skyrocketing inflation will likely trigger a recession, a new study from the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives (CCPA) says.

The research institute says if the central bank aims to bring inflation down from 7.7 per cent to its two per cent target by quickly raising rates, it could cause significant "collateral damage," including 850,000 job losses.

It adds that the central bank has had a zero per cent success rate with this approach, noting that a 5.7 per cent drop in the inflation rate has happened three times over the last 60 years, each time after big rate hikes and accompanied by a recession.

The CCPA says it's time for a new policy on inflation.

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