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風光不再/物流需求隨經濟下滑 去年大豐收不再

風光不再/物流需求隨經濟下滑 去年大豐收不再

Ta Kung Pao
Sunday, December 18, 2022 10:08:44 PM UTC

  過去兩年,供應鏈緊張,航運費用急升,美國物流供應商包括卡車和鐵路公司「豬籠入水」,賺到盤滿缽滿。然而,隨着美國經濟衰退將至,經濟活動減少,需求縮減,物流供應商風光不再,明年盈利增長將會放緩,甚至可能倒退。

  當經濟強勁,人們購物之餘,更喜歡旅遊,客貨運需求隨之大增,物流企業便遇上美好經營環境。但當經濟困難時,客貨運需求必然大減,物流企業當然不樂意看到。彭博情報組高級物流分析師Lee Klaskow預期,美國經濟衰退將至,客貨運需求劇減,貨運業明年將會困難重重。

  Lee Klaskow表示,美國經濟活動明年將會大減,北美洲卡車貨運業增長縮至0.9%,比今年預期的2.5%疲弱增長還要低。事實上,今年以來,卡車的銷售不斷在減少,預計明年銷售進一步下跌。火車運輸業方面,他預計明年增長也會放緩,可能只有低單位數增長。

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